Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 3.371415 3.722103 4.102198 4.546183 5.052333 5.613437 6.285370
2025-09-21 2.833895 3.295847 3.830797 4.501192 5.326046 6.317180 7.612557
2025-09-28 2.419070 2.914427 3.514702 4.305089 5.332592 6.643214 8.474677
2025-10-05 2.215134 2.748304 3.419532 4.341566 5.599234 7.291329 9.805375
2025-10-12 2.073653 2.638362 3.373118 4.420632 5.912140 8.018757 11.332915
2025-10-19 1.956967 2.545211 3.333079 4.494147 6.212873 8.751614 12.966780
2025-10-26 1.855404 2.460688 3.292650 4.556034 6.494203 9.479361 14.697117
2025-11-02 1.758390 2.372703 3.236785 4.584898 6.721575 10.142576 16.419863
2025-11-09 1.628977 2.228074 3.086205 4.454127 6.679781 10.357640 17.383740
2025-11-16 1.532608 2.124079 2.986460 4.390579 6.735484 10.735669 18.699162
2025-11-23 1.456676 2.044725 2.917009 4.366985 6.851675 11.227338 20.311068
2025-11-30 1.423388 2.026633 2.938919 4.491377 7.231245 12.237472 23.156717
2025-12-07 1.356226 1.953924 2.872485 4.466710 7.351526 12.792266 25.183656
2025-12-14 1.290430 1.879449 2.798241 4.422398 7.431286 13.279636 27.168145
2025-12-21 1.200292 1.761542 2.646227 4.230535 7.215216 13.143774 27.659270
2025-12-28 1.162193 1.724445 2.624206 4.266212 7.436474 13.939085 30.606922
2026-01-04 1.134666 1.702614 2.625715 4.343551 7.746410 14.967226 34.413249
2026-01-11 1.107951 1.680401 2.624732 4.415454 8.052281 16.031978 38.613729
2026-01-18 1.080985 1.656128 2.618330 4.475978 8.340400 17.100290 43.140733
2026-01-25 1.050498 1.624197 2.596323 4.504205 8.562051 18.044593 47.584594
2026-02-01 0.997797 1.551850 2.498486 4.376312 8.428674 18.091030 49.153094
2026-02-08 0.958445 1.500704 2.435980 4.314154 8.435745 18.495977 52.058042
2026-02-15 0.927221 1.462247 2.394396 4.291075 8.529256 19.141388 56.025829